When the N.C. High School Athletic Association released the details of the upcoming realignment procedure, we were all introduced to a new term —a "realignment score."
The realignment score is how schools will be classified into 1A, 2A, 3A, or 4A classifications. The larger the score, the higher the classification.
In the past, classifications have been determined by average daily membership numbers, figures that show how many students attend a particular school. ADM numbers are compiled by the state's Department of Public Instruction and delivered to the NCHSAA each fall, prior to the football playoffs. The NCHSAA adjusts those numbers to account for special situations, like athletes who attend an early college but play sports at another school.
Those ADM numbers will still be used as part of the realignment process, but they will no longer be the single determining factor in what classification a school ends up in. In addition to the enrollment figures, the NCHSAA will take into account the Identified Student Percentage at each school, which indicates how many students at a school receive government assistance for food, and the NCHSAA State Cup standings, a measure of the overall success of an athletic department.
For the upcoming realignment, the NCHSAA will use the ADM numbers from the 2019-2020 school year because accurate ADM data won't be available for the current school year due to the coronavirus pandemic. The ISP and State Cup numbers will be based on a three-year average from the 2017-2018, 2018-2019, and 2019-2020 school years.
So how is this realignment score going to be determined? (If any of my former high school math teachers are reading this, they're either laughing hysterically or nervous about what they're about to read)
The realignment score is essentially the combination of three separate scores: the ADM score, the State Cup score, and the ISP score. In other words:
ADM score + State Cup score + ISP score = realignment score
ADM score: This is the easiest of the three scores to calculate. To get the ADM score, you will take a school's 2019-2020 ADM number, as published by the NCHSAA prior to the 2019 football playoffs, and multiply it by 50 percent.
2019-2020 ADM x .50 = ADM score
State Cup score: Calculating the State Cup score will consist of multiple steps. First, is finding the average of the last three years.
(2018 score + 2019 score + 2020 score) / 3 = Three-year State Cup average
After calculating the three-year average, you then multiply it by 25 percent.
Three-year State Cup average x .25 = State Cup score
ISP score: If you're thinking this process is simple and straight forward, you just got to the most complicated step. First, the NCHSAA will find the three-year ISP average for each school, just like with the State Cup scores.
(2018 ISP + 2019 ISP + 2020 ISP) / 3 = Three-year ISP average
Next, the NCHSAA will determine a school's ISP multiplier by placing each school using a proportional linear distribution ranging from .25 to 1.75. Schools that have similar ISP averages will end up in similar places on the linear distribution. In general, the higher a school's ISP average, the lower the multiplier will be — meaning the more students at a school receiving government assistance, the lower the multiplier the school will have, thereby reducing the realignment score.
We're not done yet though. Once the ISP multiplier is determined, the NCHSAA will multiply the school's 2019-2020 ADM number by the ISP multiplier to reveal the ISP factor.
2019-2020 ADM x ISP multiplier = ISP factor
And one more step. Once the ISP factor is determined, you have to multiply it by 25 percent to get the ISP score for the school.
ISP factor x .25 = ISP score
Realignment score: Now that all three scores are determined, you're ready to determine the final realignment score by adding all three scores together.
ADM score + State Cup score + ISP score = realignment score
Regions: Unlike years past, the NCHSAA is assigning schools to the east or west region at the time of realignment. All counties from Richmond, Moore, Chatham, Alamance, and Caswell and points to the east are in the east region. Everything west of that line is in the west region.
Once all of the realignment scores are determined for all member schools, the NCHSAA will take the largest 25 percent in each region and classify them as 4A, the next largest 25 percent will be 3A, the next 25 percent will be 2A, and the smallest 25 percent will be 1A.
Why is the NCHSAA doing this? The goal seems to be to better level the competitive playing field by not just factoring in the size of a school, but also the program-wide success and the financial resources accessible to a school.
It's a pretty complex formula that the NCHSAA will use for realignment, and it's going to be very hard for anyone outside of the NCHSAA to come up with a predictive model. The full State Cup standings are not publicly released each year and determining the ISP score is a series of complex steps.
We will know the draft proposal soon enough though. The NCHSAA expects to release the first draft of classifications and conferences on Dec. 10. So stay tuned.
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November 18, 2020 at 08:17AM
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What the heck is a realignment score & how do you determine it? - HighSchoolOT
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