Hurricane Jerry 2019: Path looks better for Leeward Islands, but not Bermuda - AL.com

Hurricane Jerry continued to track closer to the Leeward Islands on Friday morning with 100 mph winds.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for some of those islands, but the worst of Jerry is forecast to pass north of them later today, according to the National Hurricane Center.

However, forecasters said heavy rain is expected over the islands as well as some gusty winds.

However, Bermuda may not be as lucky next week. The official track takes Jerry northward, avoiding the Bahamas and the U.S. -- and makes a beeline for Bermuda.

As of 7 a.m. CDT Friday, Hurricane Jerry was located about 155 miles east-northeast of Barbuda and was moving west-northwest at 16 mph.

Jerry strengthened to a Category 2 hurricane late Thursday night and and had 100 mph winds as of Friday morning. That’s down from 105 mph earlier today.

The hurricane center said wind shear is expected to increase near Jerry, and a gradual weakening trend is expected to start later today. However, Jerry is expected to remain a hurricane at least through the next five days.

Jerry is expected to stay on a path to the west-northwest for the next few days.

On that track the center of the storm will pass north of the Leeward Islands later today.

Jerry will move north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and be well to the east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas by Sunday.

The long-range track forecast is troubling for Bermuda, however.

Bermuda, which was raked by damaging winds and rain by Hurricane Humberto just Wednesday, is also squarely in the path of Jerry.

The hurricane center’s official forecast shows Jerry passing very near or over the island as a hurricane by next Tuesday or Wednesday.

A tropical storm watch continues for St. Maarten, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy and Saba and St. Eustatius.

Tropical storm conditions will be possible in those areas later today.

The hurricane center said 1-3 inches of rain will be possible from Barbuda northwest across St. Maarten, Anguilla and Anegada today.

One to 2 inches of rain will be possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

THREE OTHER WAVES TO WATCH

Tropical outlook 7 a.m. CDT Friday — In addition to Jerry there are three tropical waves being monitored by forecasters for development.

There are thee tropical waves being watched in addition to Jerry.

The hurricane center issued its last advisory on the former Hurricane Humberto last night after Humberto transitioned to a post-tropical storm.

The first tropical wave was about 700 miles east of the Windward Islands early Friday and was moving quickly westward at about 20 mph.

The hurricane center said some development will be possible as it moves across the Windward Islands this weekend. However conditions are expected to be less favorable when it moves into the eastern Caribbean early next week.

It has a 30 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 10 days.

The second tropical wave was just south of Hispaniola on Friday. It’s expected to move to the west-northwest and isn’t expected to develop much because of strong upper-level winds.

It has a 10 percent chance of development but could bring heavy rain to parts of the Greater Antilles (Hispaniola and Cuba among others) over the next few days.

The third wave hasn’t even moved off the coast of Africa yet — but it has the best shot at becoming the next tropical depression.

It is expected to emerge over water this weekend, and could develop into a tropical depression by early next week as it heads westward across the Atlantic.

The next name on the storm list? Karen.

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